Tuesday, January 22, 2019
Classical Model of Decision Making
International daybook of Business and circumspection June, 2008 The Classical get of purpose devising Has Been Accepted as non providing an Accurate narration of How People Typic whollyy Make Decisions Bin Li Foreign Langu dayss Department, Guang ring University of Finance Guangzhou, 510521, China E-mail email&160protected com Abstract Decision do is an accepted part of everyday human life. People solely look at varying importance determinations every day, thus the idea that stopping point fashioning fucking be a rather difficult action whitethorn seem so strange and unbelievable.However, a large number of existential studies moderate come outn that n early on mass in organizations atomic number 18 much poorer at close devising. in that locationfore, hatful began to pay to a greater extent attention to encounter caustic to make a suitable finish. Keywords Decision fashioning, Rational stopping point-making, Demonstrate untainted last making 1. Introdu ction Decision making is mavin of the well-nigh central dishes in organizations and a basic task of management at all levels. According to boodle (2004151), finis making is a put to work of identifying a enigma, evaluating alternatives, and selecting one alternative. During the whole wait on, nation ar making the bug outstrip choice from among several option base on the current situation. Additionally, Rollinson (2002) considered that finding making is the process of producing a resultant to a recognized problem. There ar three basic activities involved in determination making intelligence activity, design activity and choice activity. Although all the finiss be make ground on these three main activities, non all ratiocinations argon the same (www. bized. ac. uk). Some are relatively simple and others involve a more complex range of considerations.Consequently, hatful need an approach to understand decisions making. Good decision making is an essential skill for career success generally, and effective leadership particularly. 2. The virtuous decision making manikin The traditional approach to understanding individual decision making is based upon absolute decision making theory or the sagacious economic toughie (Huczynski &038 Buchanan, 2001). The unmixed view of decision making has always integrated the thought of saneity and rational decisions inwardly the whole process of discussions and prescriptions.Obviously, a rational decision-making process is often suggested as the way in which decisions should be make trough those three activities, and it involves the following strictly nail downd sequential process shown in Chart 1 (Heracleous, 1994). It begins with seeking to ask the right questions, continues by discovering creative answers and finishes by making sure that the chosen solution is precious and useful. According to Hucaynski &038 Buchanan (2002740), rationality is equated with scientific reasoning, empiricism and positivism and with the use of decision criteria of evidence, logical argument and reasoning.And the rational decisions are decisions which are based on the rationality. The advantage of the unspotted fabric is to indicate a rational approach that lowlife be applied to the business of r severallying decisions in organizations. On the other hand, Lee et, al. (199918) considered that classical decision theory views the decision maker as acting in a world of fix to pass certainty. It assumes that decision makers are objective, have complete discipline and consider all possible alternatives and their consequences before selecting the optimal solution. (Huczynski 2001738) Based on the definition above, it is surface that classical decision making theory is derived from several assumptions. However, all those assumptions are not literality within this modern instruction age. Herbert (1981) agreed that this process is underlain by certain assumptions and characteristics, which ar e highly unrealistic in practice and are widely argued among managerial field. In the managerial field, how to make a suitable decision is very important.Faulty strategic and operational decisions ass and must proficiently weaken companies competitiveness. It is possible misleading to a only faulty developing direction. According to the research by Robbins (2003), he considered that classical prototype of decision making could not fully represent how people make decisions in organizations, because people do not know how correct the selective information is used to make decisions, how reliable are the estimates of the probabilities and how useful the data is related to the event. 151 Vol. 3, No. 6International Journal of Business and anxiety Besides all above reasons, there are others evidence to quarrel classical assumptions, which to demonstrate classical decision making model is not providing an accurate account of how people typically make decisions. In general, based on the research by Robbins (2003), he summarized all the assumptions of classical decision making model illustrated in Chart 2. Robbins (2003) considered that all these assumptions are intrinsic and can not represent the real situation in the practice.Cole (2004) also agreed with that all these assumptions would be correct as people in a completely perfect world where does not exist. Moreover, all these assumptions would be disadvantages as people could not discover this model all told relies on the accuracy of the data used and must require soft input to give complete picture. Based on the disadvantages of classical model of decision making, in the following section, it is going to stick to the sequence of classical model of decision making to challenge its assumptions in details one by one. 3. Further analysis in the decision making modelIn the number 1 step of classical model of decision making, people have to identify what problem they face or deal with. And the model assumes that all the problems are easy to be localized and discovered. In fact, there are two types of problem. maven is bounded problems, which means that problems that can be more easily defined and treated as separate from the circumstance in which they exist (Rollinson, 2002254). Under this situation, people can easily define the problem, because the problem is usually small, less important and is not complex without confinement by time or cost.Obviously, these diversenesss of problems will have actual solutions in practical experience people have enough knowledge to define the temper of the problem, such as an organization makes a decision to purchase a new machine to replace the old one, which is an easy decision to make without more limitation by others factors. Thus people can continue to make decisions through the classical model. However, there is another kind of problem which is unbounded problems. In general, these kinds of problem are much more complex then ounded problem s in terms of scale, implications or time of problem. It is infallible to recognize the record of the problem before identification. Rollinson (2002) defined that unbounded problems are ambiguous problems that are harder to define and which cannot easily be separated from the condition in which they exist (Rollinson, 2002254). Therefore, in the first step of the classical decision making process, people are hard to clearly define the nature of every problem, so that there is a trap within the first step, because there are many unknown factors surrounding the problem.People in any organizations who make decisions have to be care well-nigh the real nature of the problem and various factors which influence the development of the whole problem before defining. Moreover, unbounded problems may be new problems which people do not have any kinds of knowledge and solutions. Under this situation, people are lacking knowledge to handle the problem leading to making wrong decisions. To illu strate an unbounded problem in organization, Koran electric devil Samsung Electronics has some worries about its ageing product line in the early full stop of its development.This scale of the problem is much larger and has potentially serious implications for the whole organization, which has strong influence in the future. However, although Samsung has noticed about the age of its products, there is little clarity about whether a problem rattling exists or what its nature might be. Also, management team did not limit out a clear solution at that time, hence a replacement range of products cannot be selected, because the cost, sales and production implications are not known.In the case of this example, it is proved that the nature of problem is quite different. only under the situation, which people can easily define the actual nature of the problem, people can apply the first step of classical decision making. Through discussing the bounded problem and unbounded problem, it i s clear that the nature of each of those problems is different. It is not just the size of the issue that is significant. Consequently, the first assumption of classical model, which problem is clear and unambiguous, did not come into existence.As to the third stage of the classical model, that comprehensive search for alternative courses of action and their consequences is feasible and is carried out is completely wrong. It assumes that the decision maker have entire information about the consequences of alternatives. This assumption is the most serious mistake in decision making theory. To illustrate its mistake, there are several aspects to challenge decision makers abilities and awareness.One is that some alternatives will not have occurred to the decision maker, since there are too many. Cole (2004) suggested that everything in the world is changed all the time. Decision makers can not catch all the information by his or her dexterity. When decision makers intend to legitimize their chosen courses of action, by the appearance of rationality, empirical studies show that memory search is the initial tactic followed, and only if the problem persists is a more extensive search undertaken(Heracleous199418).This statement indicated that most people making decision depend on their brain. And this kind of search for possible solutions and their consequences is generally informal, qualitative and conditioned by the organizational nature and regulations. 152 International Journal of Business and Management June, 2008 However, the brain is not a stable and arise tool to process all the information. In fact, it is totally out of ability to process information that is related to decision maker.Morse (200642) indicated that the primitive, emotional separate of peoples brains have a power influence on the choices people make. Decision makers are not rational beings, because individuals are lacking of the mental capacity to store and process all the information relate d to the decision (Huczynski &038 Buchanan, 2001). Additionally, personal background will drive decision maker from clear objective to confused objective due to their desire, because they do not know how to deal with personal preference when it has conflict with decision.On the other hand, every decision is made within a decision environment, which is defined as a sequence of collecting information, alternatives, values, and preferences available within the time of the decision (Daft 2001). However, both the development of alternatives and the selection of an optimum solution will be exceptional by organizational objective and polices, and by the attitudes of managers and other employees, even by the external environment. This statement indicated that fail to bring the right approach to collect information leading to overlooking information hey are not expecting and obeying others regulations. 4. Conclusion In short, in terms of peoples abilities, it is impractical to collect all t he information due to many external and internal factors around the organizations (Huczynski &038 Buchanan, 2001). As to peoples awareness, it lifelessness has limitations. The emotional parts of peoples brain still have strong influence on decision makers behaviour and choices (http//cogsci. uwaterloo. ca). Thus making a practical decision is not just collect as much as information which is impractical to estimate many of the consequences considered.It is considered that most people are not aware that the approaches they used are limited within their awareness. References (2008). http//cogsci. uwaterloo. ca/Articles/Pages/Emot. Decis. htm Accessed 27 January 2008 Bazerman. M. H. (2006). Judgment in Managerial Decision Making 6th ed. , New York Chichester Wiley. Belmonte, Joe. Circuits Assembly. (2006). What Do We Control? Vol. 17 let out 4, p20-21, 2p Cole, G. A. (2004). Management Theory and Practice 6th ed. , capital of the United Kingdom Thomson Corbett. J. M. (1994).Critical Cases in Organisational conduct Basingstoke Macmillan Daft . R. L. (2001). Organization Theory and Design 7th ed. , Cincinnati, Ohio South-Western College create Heracleous. L. T. (1994). Management Development Review, Vol. 7. No. 4. p 15-17 MBC University Press Herbert. T. T. (1981). Dimensions of Organizational behavior 2nd ed. , capital of the United Kingdom New York Macmillan Collier Macmillan Huczynski, A &038 David Buchanan. (2001). Organizational Behaviour An Introductory Text. 4th ed. , Financial Times, Prentice Hall Lee, D. Philip, Newman. and Robert, Price. 1999). Decision Making In Organizations Financial Times, Prentice Hall Luthans. F. (1995). Organizational Behaviour. 7th ed. , London New York McGraw-Hill Morse. K. l. (2006). Introduce Organizational behaviour. 5th ed. , London Thomson Robbins, S. P (2003). Management 7th ed. N. J. Prentice-Hall Simon, H. A. (1978). The New Science of Management Decision Revised ed. , London (etc. ) Englewood Cliffs Prentice-Hall, 153 Vol. 3, No. 6 International Journal of Business and Management aim 1. Classical decision model Figure 2. Classical model of decision making 154
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